From: Proving
Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes, and the National Exit Poll
(pg. 121)
Aggregate State Pre-election Polls
7-Sep 7-Oct 1-Nov
Final
Kerry Bush Kerry Bush Kerry Bush
Before
UVA:
Unwtd Avg 43.9 47.6 46.8 46.9 45.7 47.6
Wtd Avg 45.5 46.4 48.0 46.7 47.9 46.9
2-party 51.5 48.5 52.0 48.0 51.8 48.2
Total 50.8 48.2 51.2 47.8 51.1 47.9
Poll Unweighted Weighted 2-party Projected
Date Kerry Bush Kerry Bush Kerry Bush Kerry Bush
2-Jul 43.5 46.5 45.4 44.6 50.5 49.5 52.2 46.8
10-Ju 43.8 46.7 45.8 44.9 50.5 49.5 52.0 47.0
17-Jul 44.5 46.5 46.5 44.3 51.2 48.8 52.6 46.4
24-Jul 44.2 46.1 45.6 43.6 51.1 48.9 52.9 46.1
2-Aug 44.4 46.5 46.3 44.6 50.9 49.1 52.3 46.7
10-Aug 44.3 46.4 46.4 44.3 51.2 48.8 52.7 46.3
18-Aug 44.1 46.4 46.2 44.3 51.0 49.0 52.6 46.4
26-Aug 45.2 47.5 47.2 46.6 50.3 49.7 51.1 47.9
7-Sep 43.9 47.6 45.5 46.5 49.5 50.5 50.8 48.2
14-Sep 43.7 48.4 45.6 47.3 49.1 50.9 50.2 48.8
22-Sep 45.0 48.7 47.3 47.1 50.1 49.9 50.8 48.2
29-Sep 44.1 47.6 46.0 45.5 50.3 49.7 51.7 47.3
7-Oct 45.7 47.6 47.9 46.7 50.7 49.3 51.2 47.8
14-Oct 45.4 47.9 47.3 46.7 50.3 49.7 51.0 48.0
21-Oct 46.0 48.1 48.4 46.4 51.1 48.9 51.5 47.5
28-Oct 45.4 47.4 47.1 45.9 50.7 49.3 51.6 47.4
1-Nov 45.5 48.3 47.9 46.9 50.5 49.5 51.1 47.9
State
Polling Trend
7-Sep 7-Oct 1-Nov
Final State Polls Kerry Bush Kerry Bush Kerry
Bush
Weighted
Average 45.5 46.4
48.0 46.7 47.9 46.9
Projected 50.8 48.2
51.2 47.8 51.1 47.9
AL Oct
27 Survey USA 34 54 40 56 39 57
AK Sep
11 ARG
33 56 39 55 30 57
AZ Oct
26 Rasmussen 42 45 47 50 45 50
AR Oct
29 Mason-Dixon 47 48 47 47 48 48
CA Oct 27 Field Poll 50 42 51 43 49 42
CO Oct
30 Zogby 47 47 49 48 47 48
CT Oct
28 Research 2000 45 38 47 38 52 42
DE Sep
25 W Chester U 55 42 45 38 45 38
DC Sep
13 ARG 86 9 78 11 78 11
FL Oct 30 Zogby 44 48 50 48 50 47
GA Oct
29 Zogby 38
55 42 53 42 52
HI Oct
20 SMS Res 48 41 51 41 45 45
ID Sep
10 ARG
25 55
30 59 30 59
IL Oct
29 Survey USA 52 38 55 38 54 42
IN Oct 29 Survey USA 40 52 40 53 39 58
IA Oct
30 Zogby
47
47 51 44 50 44
KS Oct
27 Survey USA 36 56
35 57 37 60
KY Oct
20 Bluegrass 39 56
38 53 39 56
LA Oct
22 SE LA U 36 52
42 50 40 48
ME Oct 21 Zogby 49 44 42 39 50 39
MD Oct
29 Survey USA 53 42 48 45 54 43
MA Oct
5 Merrimack 56 30 64 27 64 27
MI Oct
30 Zogby 48
44 52 42 52 45
MN Oct
30 Zogby 46 46 53 44 52 44
MS Sep 17 ARG 30 61 42 51 42 51
MO Oct
29 Mason-Dixon 45 49 49 50 44 49
MT Oct
20 Mason-Dixon 33 53 36 54 36 57
NE Oct
20 RKM Research 33 62 30 61 32 61
NV Oct
29 Survey USA 48 46 48 47 49 49
NH Oct 30 ARG
51
43 51 44 47 47
NJ Oct
29 Survey USA 50 46 50 45 50 42
NM Oct
30 ARG 42 45 55 43 49 49
NY Oct
28 Survey USA 56 37 53 41 57 39
NC Oct
26 Mason-Dixon 45 51 47 50 47 50
ND Oct 19 Minn
St U 33 61 33 62 35 55
OH Oct
30 Zogby 42 48 48 47 50 47
OK Oct
24 Wilson Res 38 57 29 52 28 61
OR Oct
29 Mason-Dixon 54 43 55 44 50 44
PA Oct
30 Zogby 46 47 52 46 50 45
RI Oct 27 Survey USA 49 25 55 37 56 36
SC Oct
24 Survey USA 42 53 37 55 42 55
SD Oct
24 McLaughlin 40 54 40 52 42 52
TN Oct
21 Mason-Dixon 50 48 48 50 48 50
TX Oct
28 Survey USA 33 57 37 58 37 59
UT Oct 28 Dan Jones 22 67 27 64 24 69
VT Oct
12 Research2k 51 36 50 40 53 40
VA Oct 29 Survey USA 45 49 47 50 47 51
WA Oct
27 Strat Vision 48 43 54 44 52 44
WV Oct
29 Mason-Dixon 42 49 44 50 46 49
WI Oct
30 Zogby 49 45 51 48 51 44
WY Sep 11 ARG 28 68 29 65 29 65