Ohio: Further confirmation of a Kerry landslide
 
TruthIsAll

 

 

On December 14, 2007, Bob Fitrakis & Harvey Wasserman reported that the Ohio Secretary of State  confirmed that the 2004 election could have been stolen :Ohio's Secretary of State announced this morning that a $1.9 million official study shows that "critical security failures" are embedded throughout the voting systems in the state that decided the 2004 election. Those failures, she says, "could impact the integrity of elections in the Buckeye State." They have rendered Ohio's vote counts "vulnerable" to manipulation and theft by "fairly simple techniques."  Indeed, she says, "the tools needed to compromise an accurate vote count could be as simple as tampering with the paper audit trail connector or using a magnet and a personal digital assistant." In other words, Ohio's top election official has finally confirmed that the 2004 election could have been easily stolen”. 
……

“The final official tally for Bush---less than 119,000 votes out of 5.4 million cast---varied by 6.7% from exit poll results, which showed a Kerry victory. Exit polls in 2004 were designed to have a margin of error of about 1%.


In various polling stations in Democrat-rich inner city precincts in Youngstown and Columbus, voters who pushed touch screens for Kerry saw Bush's name light up. A wide range of discrepancies on both electronic and paper balloting systems leaned almost uniformly toward the Bush camp. Voting procedures regularly broke down in inner city and campus areas known to be heavily Democratic. 

In direct violation of standing federal election law, 56 of 88 Ohio counties have since destroyed all or part of their 2004 election data.”

_______________________________________________________________________________________________
 
The Implausible Final Ohio Exit Poll: matched to a corrupt recorded vote
 

Kerry won the unadjusted (WPE) Ohio Exit Poll by 54.4-45.6% as well as the 12:22am adjusted Composite (1963 respondents) by 52.1-47.9%. 

Bush won the 2:06pm Final Ohio exit poll (2020 respondents) by 50.9-49.1%. Vote shares and weights were adjusted to force a match to the recorded Ohio vote.  The Final National Exit poll was also forced to match the recorded National vote. It’s Standard Operating Procedure.

 

If the 12:22am Ohio exit poll weightings had been used in the Final, it would have been necessary to inflate the Bush vote shares to implausible levels to match the recorded vote.  So the weights were adjusted in favor of Bush to minimize the vote share inflation.

 

First-time Voters

Of the 14% who were first-time voters, 55% were for Kerry. Are we to believe that he won just 47% of the other 86%?

 

Bush Approval

On Election Day, Bush had an average 48.5% national approval rating (11-polls). In the 12:22am Ohio Exit Poll, the Bush Approval weighting was 51% (Kerry won by 50.1-49.9%).  In the Final Ohio Exit Poll, the weighting was increased to 53% in order to force a match to the recorded vote (Bush won by 51.6-47.0%).  Using 48.5% Bush approval, Kerry won by 52.3-47.7%, a 270,000 vote margin.

 

Size of Community

According to the 12:22am Ohio Exit Poll, Kerry won in the Big Cities by 50-49% - but Bush won Big Cities in the Final Exit Poll by 53-43%.  Are we supposed to believe that Bush outpolled Kerry by 10% in large, traditionally Democratic urban locations such as Cleveland and Cincinnati?

 

When Decided

Of the 21% who decided in the month prior to the election, 62% voted for Kerry, compared to just 45% of the 79% who decided earlier. Not plausible. Did Bush lead by 10% in the pre-October polls?

 

Party ID 

The weights changed from 38D/35R to 35D/40R, a 7.9% shift. With the original weights, Bush needed 17% of Democrats to match the recorded vote. He had 8%.

 

Ideology

Liberal/Conservative weights changed from 21/32 to 19/34, a 9.5% shift. With the original weights, Bush needed 23% of Liberals to match the recorded vote. He had 13%.

 

Voted for Senate

Democratic/Republican weights changed from 43/57 to 36/64, a 16.3% shift. With the original weights, Bush needed 14% of those who voted for the

Democratic Senate candidate. He had 7%.

 

 

Election Models: calculating the True Vote

 

1)      Election Calculator: Kerry won by 54.1-45.9% (1.22% annual voter mortality; 5% uncounted in 2000)

2)      True Vote: Kerry won by 51.5-48.5% (0.87% annual mortality; 2.74% uncounted in 2004)

3)      Switched Vote:  Kerry won by 53.3-46.7%  (3% of total votes cast were uncounted;  6.8% switched )

 
Ohio Election Calculator

 

                 2000 Recorded                                       2004 Calculated                    
Voted    Actual   Unctd   Cast     Deaths   Alive            Turnout  Voted    Weight   Kerry    Bush     
                                                             DNV       1.33     23.0%    60%      40%      
Gore     2.19     0.18     2.37     0.12     2.25             95%      2.13     37.0%    93%      7%       
Bush     2.35     0.05     2.40     0.11     2.29             95%      2.18     37.7%    11%      89%      
Nader    0.14     0.01     0.15     0.01     0.14             95%      0.14     2.4%     75%      25%      
                                                                                                         
Total    4.68     0.25     4.93     0.24     4.68             4.45     5.77     100%     54.1%    45.9%    
                                                                                5.77     3.12     2.65      
 
Ohio Sensitivity Analysis I  
Effects of Gore share of uncounted votes and Gore voter turnout in 2004                                          
                                            
Bush 2000 Turnout: 95%    
                 
Gore%            Gore Voter Turnout
Unctd    91%      93%      95%      97%      99%
 
                 Kerry Ohio Vote Share                       
85%      53.9%    54.1%    54.4%    54.7%    54.9%
80%      53.7%    54.0%    54.2%    54.5%    54.8%
75%      53.6%    53.8%    54.1%    54.3%    54.6%
70%      53.4%    53.7%    53.9%    54.2%    54.4%
65%      53.2%    53.5%    53.8%    54.0%    54.3%
                                            
                  Kerry Margin (mil)                         
85%      0.51     0.51     0.51     0.51     0.51 
80%      0.49     0.49     0.49     0.49     0.49 
75%      0.47     0.47     0.47     0.47     0.47 
70%      0.45     0.45     0.45     0.45     0.45 
65%      0.43     0.43     0.43     0.43     0.43 
 
 
Ohio Sensitivity Analysis II  
Effects of Kerry’s share of Gore and New voters
                                                             
Kerry share of Bush 2000 voters: 11%        
 
Kerry%    Kerry % of New voters (DNV in 2000)                         
Gore     56%      58%      60%      62%      64%
 
              Kerry Ohio Vote Share                          
97%      54.6%    55.1%    55.6%    56.0%    56.5%
95%      53.9%    54.4%    54.8%    55.3%    55.7%
93%      53.2%    53.6%    54.1%    54.5%    55.0%
91%      52.4%    52.9%    53.3%    53.8%    54.3%
89%      51.7%    52.1%    52.6%    53.1%    53.5%
                                            
                  Kerry Margin (mil)                         
97%      0.54     0.59     0.64     0.69     0.75 
95%      0.45     0.50     0.56     0.61     0.66 
93%      0.37     0.42     0.47     0.52     0.58 
91%      0.28     0.33     0.39     0.44     0.49 
89%      0.19     0.25     0.30     0.35     0.41 
 
        
 
True Vote Model
 
         2000 Recorded (mil)                        2004 Calculated                     
Voted    Actual   Deaths   Alive            Turnout  Voted    Weight   Kerry    Bush
                                            DNV      1.31     23.4%    57%      43%      
Gore     2.19     0.08     2.11             95%      2.00     35.7%    91%      9%       
Bush     2.35     0.08     2.27             95%      2.16     38.6%    10%      90%      
Nader    0.14     0.01     0.14             95%      0.13     2.4%     77%      23%      
                                                                                                         
Total    4.68     0.16     4.52             4.29     5.60     100%     51.5%    48.5%    
                                                              5.60     2.88     2.72      
 
 
Uncounted and Switched Votes
 
                 Kerry    Bush
Actual            2.74    2.86
Uncounted        0.119    0.040
Switched          .208    -.208 (6.8% of True Vote)
 
True             3.07     2.69
Vote             53.3%   46.7%

 

 

Ohio 2004 Exit Poll

 

12:22am Composite

1963 respondents                                                                                                                           

MoE: 2.21%

                                                            

                                                            --Probability--   

CATEGORY                                             Kerry   Kerry Vote Dev

                 Kerry    Bush   Kerry     Bush     Margin    Win      1 in

GENDER           52.06%   47.94%   2.934    2.701    0.232    96.6%    187

RACE/GENDER      51.76%   48.24%   2.917    2.718    0.198    94.1%    90

RACE             51.58%   48.42%   2.907    2.728    0.178    91.9%    60

AGE              51.39%   48.31%   2.896    2.722    0.174    89.1%    77

INCOME           52.40%   47.13%   2.953    2.656    0.297    98.3%    1862

                                                                              

EDUCATION        50.94%   48.77%   2.870    2.748    0.122    79.8%    29

PARTY ID         51.80%   47.57%   2.919    2.681    0.238    94.5%    504

IDEOLOGY         51.10%   48.90%   2.879    2.756    0.124    83.5%    23

VOTED BEFORE?    50.70%   49.30%   2.857    2.778    0.079    73.3%    11

RELIGION         50.96%   48.78%   2.872    2.749    0.123    80.3%    28

                                                                              

WHEN DECIDED     50.96%   48.94%   2.872    2.758    0.114    80.3%    21

SIZE 1           51.17%   48.45%   2.883    2.730    0.153    85.0%    56

SIZE 2           51.33%   48.67%   2.892    2.743    0.150    88.1%    35

REGION           51.57%   48.09%   2.906    2.710    0.196    91.8%    129

U.S.SENATE       51.96%   48.04%   2.928    2.707    0.221    95.9%    146

                                                                              

AVERAGE          51.36%   48.46%   2.894    2.731    0.163    88.6%    54

                                                                              

ACTUAL           48.71%   50.82%   2.740    2.859    -0.119   12.6%    2

                                                                              

 

                    Ohio                               Ohio Final                 NEP

                 12:22am (1963)                      2:06pm (2020)            12:22am (13047)

GENDER   Mix      Votes    Kerry    Bush             Mix      Kerry    Bush             Mix      Votes        Kerry    Bush     Other

Male     47%      2.65     51%      49%              47%      48%      52%              46%      56.20         47%      52%      1%

Female   53%      2.99     53%      47%              53%      50%      50%              54%      65.97         54%      45%      1%

 

Total                     52.06%   47.94%                    49.06%   50.94%                                   50.78%   48.22%   1.00%

                 5.635    2.934    2.701                     2.765    2.870                     122.17         62.04    58.91    1.22

 

RACE/GENDER                                                                                                                

WM       40%      2.25     47%      53%              40%      43%      56%              36%      43.89         41%      58%      1%

WF       45%      2.54     47%      53%              46%      45%      55%              41%      49.99         47%      52%      1%

NWM      7%       0.39     75%      25%              7%       73%      27%              10%      12.19         69%      28%      1%

NWF      8%       0.45     82%      18%              8%       82%      18%              13%      15.85         77%      22%      1%

 

Total                     51.76%   48.24%                    49.57%   51.03%                                   50.94%   47.86%   1.00%

                          2.917    2.718                     2.793    2.876                     121.93         62.23    58.47    1.22

                                                                                                                   

VOTED BEFORE?                                                                VOTED in 2000                               

No       14%      0.79     55%      45%              15%      54%      46%      No       17%      20.77         57%      41%      2%

Yes      86%      4.85     50%      50%              85%      47%      52%      Gore     39%      47.65         91%      8%       1%

 

Total                     50.70%   49.30%                   48.05%    51.10%   Bush     41%      50.09         10%      90%      0%

                          2.857    2.778                     2.708    2.879    Nader    3%       3.67          71%      21%      8%

                                                                                                

                                                                                                               51.41%   47.62%   0.97%

                                                                                                122.17         62.80    58.17    1.18

                                                                                                                   

AGE                                                                                                                

18-29    21%      1.18     60%      40%              21%      56%      42%              17%      20.56         56%      42%      1%

30-44    30%      1.69     50%      49%              30%      47%      52%              29%      35.08         48%      49%      2%

45-59    29%      1.63     51%      49%              29%      48%      52%              30%      36.28         51%      47%      1%

60-      20%      1.13     45%      55%              20%      43%      57%              24%      29.03         48%      51%      0%

 

Total                     51.39%   48.31%                    48.38%   50.90%                                   50.26%   47.69%   1.05%

                          2.896    2.722                     2.726    2.868                     120.95         61.40    58.26    1.28

                                                                                                                   

INCOME                                                                                                             

0-15     7%       0.39     73%      27%              7%       71%      29%              9%       10.96         65%      34%      1%

15-30    16%      0.90     66%      34%              16%      63%      37%              15%      18.27         60%      38%      1%

30-50    25%      1.41     53%      46%              25%      50%      49%              22%      26.80         53%      46%      1%

50-75    22%      1.24     44%      55%              22%      41%      58%              23%      28.02         46%      53%      1%

75-100   15%      0.85     50%      50%              15%      45%      55%              13%      15.84         48%      51%      0%

100-150  9%       0.51     44%      56%              9%       42%      58%              11%      13.40         45%      53%      2%

150-200  4%       0.23     39%      61%              4%       37%      63%              4%       4.87          47%      53%      0%

200-     2%       0.11     39%      61%              2%       39%      61%              3%       3.65          41%      58%      1%

 

Total                     52.40%   47.13%                    49.36%   50.17%                                   51.39%   47.39%   0.94%

                          2.953    2.656                     2.781    2.827                     121.83         62.78    57.89    1.14

EDUCATION                                                                                                                  

NoHS     4%       0.23     60%      40%              4%       58%      42%              4%       4.89          53%      46%      1%

HSGrad   29%      1.63     53%      46%              30%      51%      49%              22%      26.88         50%      48%      2%

College  28%      1.58     50%      50%              29%      48%      52%              31%      37.87         48%      51%      1%

ColGrad  25%      1.41     47%      53%              25%      45%      55%              26%      31.76         49%      50%      1%

Postg    14%      0.79     53%      47%              13%      49%      51%              17%      20.77         57%      41%      2%

 

Total                     50.94%   48.77%                    49.16%   51.84%                                   50.43%   48.18%   1.39%

                          2.870    2.748                     2.770    2.921                     122.17         61.61    58.86    1.69

                                                                                                                   

PARTY ID                                                                                                           

Dem      38%      2.14     91%      8%               35%      90%      9%               38%      46.17         90%      9%       1%

Rep      37%      2.08     6%       94%              40%      6%       94%              35%      42.53          7%      92%     1%

Ind      25%      1.41     60%      39%              25%      59%      40%              27%      32.81         52%      44%      2%

 

Total                     51.80%   47.57%                    48.65%   50.75%                                   50.69%   47.50%   1.27%

                          2.919    2.681                     2.741    2.860                     121.51         61.92    58.03    1.55

                                                                                                                   

IDEOLOGY                                                                                                           

Lib      21%      1.18     87%      13%              19%      85%      14%              22%      26.61         86%      12%      1%

Mod      47%      2.65     61%      39%              47%      59%      41%              45%      54.43         57%      41%      1%

Con      32%      1.80     13%      87%              34%      13%      87%              33%      39.91         16%      82%      1%

 

Total                     51.10%   48.90%                    48.30%   51.51%                                   49.85%   48.15%   1.00%

                          2.879    2.756                     2.722    2.903                     120.95         60.90    58.82    1.22

                                                                                                                   

                                                                                                                   

RELIGION                                                                                                           

Prot     56%      3.16     46%      54%              57%      44%      56%              53%      64.71         43%      56%      1%

Cath     26%      1.47     46%      53%              26%      44%      55%              27%      32.96         50%      49%      1%

Jewish   1%       0.06     76%      24%              1%       76%      24%              3%       3.66          78%      22%      0%

Other    6%       0.34     76%      24%              6%       72%      26%              7%       8.55          75%      21%      3%

None     11%      0.62     72%      28%              10%      69%      29%              10%      12.21         69%      29%      2%

 

Total                     50.96%   48.78%                    48.50%   50.92%                                   50.78%   47.94%   1.21%

                          2.872    2.749                     2.733    2.869                     122.09         62.03    58.56    1.47

                                                                                                                   

WHEN DECIDED                                                                                                               

Today    5%       0.28     60%      40%              5%       61%      39%              6%       7.31          53%      40%      5%

3Days    4%       0.23     64%      36%              4%       64%      36%              3%       3.65          53%      41%      4%

Week     2%       0.11     64%      36%              3%       64%      36%              2%       2.44          48%      51%      1%

Month    10%      0.56     62%      37%              11%      61%      36%              10%      12.18         60%      38%      1%

Before   79%      4.45     48%      52%              78%      45%      55%              79%      96.24         50%      50%      0%

 

Total                     50.96%   48.94%                    48.73%   50.27%                                   51.23%   47.95%   0.54%

                          2.872    2.758                     2.746    2.872                     121.83         62.58    58.58    0.66

REGION                                                                                                             

Cuyahoga 13%      0.73     65%      35%              12%      65%      35%      East     22%      26.74         58%      41%      1%

NE       27%      1.52     55%      45%              27%      50%      50%      Central  26%      31.60         50%      49%      1%

Central  23%      1.30     47%      52%               20%      40%      58%     South    31%      37.68         44%      54%      1%

NW       11%      0.62     50%      49%              15%      52%      47%      West     21%      25.52         53%      45%      1%

SW       26%      1.47     46%      54%              26%      45%      55%                             

 

Total                     51.57%   48.09%                    48.80%   50.65%                                   50.53%   47.95%   1.00%

                          2.906    2.710                     2.750    2.854                      121.54         61.73    58.58    1.22

 

                                                                                                                   

BUSH JOB APPROVAL                                                     MILITARY                                   

Approve  51%      2.87     7%       93%              53%      7%       93%      Yes      18%      21.95          43%      55%      1%

Disap    49%      2.76     95%      5%               46%      94%      5%       No       82%      100.00         53%      46%      1%

 

Total                     50.12%   49.88%                    46.95%   51.59%                                   51.20%   47.62%   1.00%

                          2.824    2.811                     2.646    2.907                     121.95         62.55    58.17    1.22

                                                                                                                   

SIZE OF COMMUNITY                                                                                                          

BigCity  7%       0.39     50%      49%              6%       43%      53%                                          

SmCity   19%      1.07     62%      38%              19%      62%      38%                                          

Suburbs  49%      2.76     51%      49%              49%      49%      51%                                          

SmTowns  6%       0.34     55%      43%              6%       49%      49%                                          

Rural    19%      1.07     40%      59%              19%      36%      63%                                          

 

Total                     51.17%   48.45%                    48.15%   50.30%                                       

                          2.883    2.730                     2.713    2.834                                        

                                                                                                                   

SIZE OF COMMUNITY                                                                                                          

Urban    26%      1.47     59%      41%              25%      58%      41%                                          

Suburb   49%      2.76     51%      49%              49%      49%      51%                      

Rural    25%      1.41     44%      56%              25%      40%      60%                      

 

Total                     51.33%   48.67%                    48.51%   50.24%                   

                          2.892    2.743                     2.734    2.831                    

RACE                                                                                           

White    86%      4.85     47%      53%              86%      44%      56%                      

Black    9%       0.51     84%      16%              10%      84%      16%                      

Latino   3%       0.17     72%      28%              3%       65%      35%                      

Asian    1%       0.06     72%      28%              1%       72%      28%                      

Other    1%       0.06     72%      28%              1%       *        *                        

 

Total                     51.58%   48.42%                    48.91%   51.09%                   

                          2.907    2.728                     2.756    2.879                    

                                                                                               

                                                                                               

VOTE FOR U.S. SENATE                                                                                      

Dem      43%      2.42     93%      7%               36%      94%      6%                       

Rep      57%      3.21     21%      79%              64%      23%      77%             

 

Total                     51.96%   48.04%                    48.56%   51.44%          

                          2.928    2.707                     2.736    2.899           

                                                                    

___________________________________________________________________________________________________

 


2000-2004 Ohio Recorded Votes and Margins by County

 

The county databases do not include the total number of recorded votes (129,000 in 2000 and 145,000 in 2004)

Late absentee votes had not yet been counted.

 

Gore won 53.1% of the late 129,000 recorded votes (2.77% of the total) compared to 46.5% of the initial recorded votes.

Kerry won 56.2% of the late 145,000 recorded votes (2.59% of the total) compared to 48.7% of the initial recorded votes.

The discrepancies between the initial and late Democratic vote shares are further evidence of a stolen election.

 

 

                 2000                       Bush2k   Bush04   2004              VoteChg  PctChg  Machine

                 GORE     BUSH     NADER    Margin   Margin   KERRY    BUSH     Margin   Margin  Incidents

Recorded        47.0%     50.5%    2.5%     165.0    118.6    48.9%    51.1%    -46.4    -1.43%  

County          46.8%     50.7%    2.5%     176.4    136.5    48.7%    51.3%    -39.9    -1.40% 

 

Late Votes      53.1%     44.3%    2.6%     -11.4    -17.9    56.2%    43.8%    -6.5     -3.47%  

 

DRE             49.1%     48.2%    2.6%     -6.3     -45.3    52.6%    47.4%    -38.9    -4.4%    116

OPTISCAN        43.8%     53.9%    2.3%     56.2     69.9     44.7%    55.3%    13.7     0.5%     31

PUNCH           46.8%     50.7%    2.6%     126.6    111.9    48.6%    51.4%    -14.8    -1.0%    101

 

DRE                                                        

Auglaize        28.2%    69.9%    1.9%     7.9      10.7     25.8%    74.2%    2.8      6.7%     0

Franklin        49.1%    48.3%    2.6%     -3.1     -41.4    54.1%     45.9%  -38.3     -7.3%      82

Knox            34.0%    63.8%    2.2%     6.1      7.1      36.6%    63.4%    1.0      -2.9%    1

Lake            45.9%    51.0%    3.1%     5.1      3.1      48.7%    51.3%    -1.9     -2.5%    0

Mahoning        61.2%    35.8%    2.9%     -28.3    -33.5    62.9%    37.1%    -5.2     -0.5%      33

 

Pickaway         37.5%    61.0%    1.6%     4.1      5.5      37.7%    62.3%    1.4      1.1%     0

Ross             45.3%    53.1%    1.6%     2.0      3.2      44.7%    55.3%    1.3      2.8%     0

                                                                                      

OPTISCAN                                                          

Allen            32.2%    66.1%    1.7%     14.3     15.8     33.3%    66.7%    1.5      -0.6%    0

Ashland          32.2%    65.1%    2.7%     6.6      7.5      34.5%    65.5%    0.9      -1.9%    0

Clermont         30.1%    68.0%    1.9%     25.7     36.4     29.1%    70.9%    10.7     3.9%     0

Coshocton        39.6%    58.3%    2.1%     2.6      2.4      42.6%    57.4%    -0.2     -3.8%    0

Erie              51.0%   46.5%    2.5%     -1.5     -2.6     53.4%    46.6%    -1.1     -2.3%    0

 

Geauga           36.4%    60.3%    3.3%     9.9      10.4     39.5%    60.5%    0.5      -2.9%    0

Hancock          28.9%    69.2%    1.9%     11.9     14.4     29.0%    71.0%    2.5      1.8%     0

Hardin           37.9%    60.1%    2.1%     2.4      3.5      36.6%    63.4%    1.1      4.6%     0

Lucas            58.1%    39.5%    2.3%     -33.8    -43.5    60.1%    39.9%    -9.7     -1.7%    31

Miami            36.7%    61.2%    2.1%     10.2     16.0     34.0%    66.0%    5.8      7.4%     0

 

Ottawa           47.8%    50.0%    2.2%     0.4      0.9      48.0%    52.0%    0.5      1.7%     0

Sandusky         43.7%    54.0%    2.3%     2.5      3.9      43.8%    56.2%    1.4      2.1%     0

Washington       39.5%    58.4%    2.2%     4.9      4.9      41.6%    58.4%    0.0      -2.1%    0

                                                                                      

 

                 2000                       2000     2004     2004              Change   Net     

                 GORE     BUSH     NADER    Margin   Margin   KERRY    BUSH     Margin   Margin   Inc

PUNCH CARDS                                                               

Adams            35.3%    63.1%    1.6%     2.8      3.3      35.9%    64.1%    0.5      0.4%     0

Ashtabula        50.9%    46.2%    2.9%     -1.8     -2.9     53.3%    46.7%  -1.1     -1.9%      0

Athens           53.6%    40.1%    6.3%     -3.0     -7.5     63.7%    36.3%  -4.5     -13.8%     0

Belmont          54.5%    43.0%    2.5%     -3.3     -2.0     53.0%    47.0%    1.4      5.5%     0

Brown            36.7%    61.6%    1.7%     4.0      5.4      36.1%    63.9%    1.4      2.8%     0

 

Butler           34.1%    63.9%    2.0%     39.0     52.6     33.7%    66.3%    13.5     2.9%     0

Carroll          41.4%    56.3%    2.3%     1.8      1.3      45.1%    54.9%    -0.4     -5.1%    0

Champaign        38.3%    59.4%    2.2%     3.2      4.7      37.1%    62.9%    1.5      4.6%     0

Clark            49.0%    48.7%    2.4%     -0.2     1.6       48.8%    51.2%    1.8      2.7%     1

Clinton          32.0%    65.8%    2.2%     4.9      7.4      29.3%    70.7%    2.4      7.4%     0

 

Columbn          47.4%    49.9%    2.8%     1.1      2.3      47.6%    52.4%    1.3      2.3%     0

Crawford         35.5%    61.7%    2.8%     4.9      6.0      35.8%    64.2%    1.2      2.2%     0

Cuyahoga         63.0%    34.0%    3.0%     -156.8   -217.6   66.8%    33.2%    -60.8    -4.6%    75

Darke            33.6%    64.4%    1.9%     6.9      10.2     30.0%    70.0%    3.3      9.1%     0

Defiance         38.5%    59.3%    2.3%     3.3      4.3      37.8%    62.2%    1.1      3.7%     0

 

Delaware         31.2%    66.7%    2.2%     19.0     25.7     33.6%    66.4%    6.7      -2.8%    0

Fairfield        35.5%    62.4%    2.1%     14.2     17.7     36.6%    63.4%    3.5      -0.2%    0

Fayette          36.5%    61.7%    1.8%     2.3      3.0      37.0%    63.0%    0.7      0.8%     0

Fulton           36.3%    61.7%    2.0%     4.7      5.3      37.6%    62.4%    0.7      -0.6%    0

Gallia           38.6%    59.7%    1.7%     2.6      3.1      38.4%    61.6%    0.5      2.1%     0

 

Greene           38.5%    59.1%    2.4%     12.8     17.5     38.5%    61.5%    4.7      2.4%     0

Guernsey         43.6%    53.7%    2.7%     1.5      2.0      43.7%    56.3%    0.6      2.4%     0

Hamilton         42.6%    54.9%    2.5%     44.1     24.7     47.0%    53.0%    -19.4    -6.2%     18

Harrison         48.1%    49.1%    2.7%     0.1      0.5      47.0%    53.0%    0.4      5.1%     0

Henry            33.1%    65.0%    1.9%     4.1      4.7      34.0%    66.0%    0.6      0.1%     0

 

Highland         34.8%    63.6%    1.6%     4.3      5.9      33.6%    66.4%    1.5      4.0%     0

Hocking          42.8%    54.5%    2.8%     1.2      0.8      47.1%    52.9%    -0.4     -5.8%    0

Holmes           23.0%    75.0%    1.9%     4.6      5.7      24.0%    76.0%    1.1      0.0%     0

Huron            38.8%    58.5%    2.7%     4.1      4.2      41.6%    58.4%    0.1      -2.9%    0

Jackson          41.7%    56.5%    1.8%     1.8      2.9      39.7%    60.3%    1.1      5.8%     0

 

Jefferson        52.3%    45.0%    2.7%     -2.4     -1.8     52.5%    47.5%    0.6      2.2%     0

Lawrence         46.6%    51.7%    1.7%     1.2      3.3      43.9%    56.1%    2.1      7.1%     0

Licking          37.5%    60.1%    2.4%     13.7     18.7     37.9%    62.1%    5.0      1.6%     0

Logan            32.6%    65.0%    2.5%     5.8      7.4      32.1%    67.9%    1.6      3.5%     0

Lorain           53.7%    43.4%    2.9%     -11.2    -16.8  p;  56.2%    43.8%    -5.6     -1.9%    0

 

Madison          36.4%    61.5%    2.1%     3.5      4.9      35.7%    64.3%    1.3      3.5%     0

Marion           42.1%    55.5%    2.4%     3.2      5.2      40.7%    59.3%    2.0      5.1%     0

Medina           40.4%    56.6%    3.0%     10.5     11.8     42.9%    57.1%    1.2      -2.1%    0

Meigs            38.0%    59.6%    2.4%     2.0      1.8      41.3%    58.7%    -0.2     -4.2%    0

Mercer           28.9%    68.9%    2.2%     7.1      10.1     24.7%    75.3%    3.0      10.6%    0

 

Monroe           52.4%    45.5%    2.2%     -0.5     -0.8     55.3%     44.7%    -0.3     -3.7%    0

Montgomery       49.8%    48.2%    2.0%     -3.7     -3.5     50.6%     49.4%    0.1      0.3%     0

Morgan           38.4%    58.6%    3.0%     1.2      0.9      43.2%    56.8%    -0.3     -6.6%    0

Morrow           35.8%    61.8%    2.4%     3.3      4.7      35.4%    64.6%    1.4      3.1%     0

Muskingum        41.6%    55.6%    2.7%     4.4      5.9      42.3%    57.7%    1.4      1.4%     0

 

Noble            39.0%    58.3%    2.6%     1.1      1.2      40.8%    59.2%    0.1      -0.9%    0

Paulding         38.3%    59.0%    2.7%     1.8      2.5      36.8%    63.2%    0.7      5.6%     0

Perry            46.5%    50.8%    2.6%     0.5      0.6      48.1%    51.9%    0.0      -0.5%    0

Pike             47.1%    51.2%    1.7%     0.4      0.5      47.9%    52.1%    0.1      0.2%     0

Portage          50.6%    45.6%    3.8%     -3.0     -4.9     53.2%    46.8%   -1.8     -1.5% ;   1

 

Preble           35.6%    62.2%    2.2%     4.7      6.3      34.7%    65.3%    1.6      4.1%     0

Putnam           23.7%    74.8%    1.5%     8.7      9.8      23.4%    76.6%    1.2      2.0%     0

Richland         39.4%    58.0%    2.5%     9.5      12.2     39.9%    60.1%    2.7      1.6%     0

Scioto           45.7%    52.4%    1.9%     2.0      1.5      47.8%    52.2%    -0.5     -2.4%    0

Seneca           39.6%    57.7%    2.8%     4.3      4.9      40.8%    59.2%    0.6      0.3%     0

 

Shelby           33.9%    64.1%    2.0%     5.8      9.5      28.6%    71.4%    3.7      12.7%    0

Stark            47.7%    49.7%    2.6%     3.0      -2.4     50.7%    49.3%    -5.5     -3.3%    1

Summit           53.7%    43.6%    2.7%     -22.1    -36.7    56.8%    43.2%  -14.6      -3.5%     5

Trumbull         60.6%    36.5%    2.9%     -22.4    -25.1    61.9%    38.1%    -2.7     0.3%     0

Tuscarawas       43.6%    53.5%    2.9%     3.6      4.9      44.1%    55.9%    1.3      1.8%     0

 

Union            29.8%    68.1%    2.0%     6.3      9.0      29.6%    70.4%    2.7      2.6%     0

Van Wert         32.1%    66.2%    1.7%     4.4      6.5      27.7%    72.3%    2.1      10.5%    0

Vinton           41.9%    55.8%    2.3%     0.7      0.6      45.0%    55.0%    -0.1     -3.9%    0

Warren           28.0%    70.5%    1.6%     28.5     41.1     27.6%    72.4%    12.6     2.2%     0

Wayne            35.3%    61.9%    2.8%     10.9     12.0     38.2%    61.8%    1.1      -3.0%    0

 

Williams         34.8%    63.0%    2.2%     4.3      5.4      34.9%    65.1%    1.1      2.1%     0

Wood             43.9%    53.2%    2.9%     4.7      4.4      46.4%    53.6%    -0.4     -2.2%    0

Wyandot          34.9%    63.1%    2.0%     2.7      3.4      33.8%    66.2%    0.7      4.2%     0